Oregon Ducks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Oregon Ducks

Program History

Coach: Dana Altman

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

71.1

PPG

73.9

Opp

-2.8

Margin

42.9%

FG%

32.1%

3P%

73.1%

FT%

34.4

RPG

14.5

APG

11.8

77.4

Pace

76.8

AdjO

68.9

AdjD

#89

Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	986 (#191)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	978 (#203)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More →	963 (#578)	HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More →	+7.4 (#91)	HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More →	+19.1 (#92)	HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.380 (#245)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -27.0 More →	0.044 (#341)	NetEff -27.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More →	0.748 (#93)	AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.6 More →	0.753 (#93)	AdjNet +9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 \| AdjD 68.9 More →	0.671 (#89)	AdjO 76.8 \| AdjD 68.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 \| AdjD 69.9 More →	0.510 (#225)	AdjO 70.3 \| AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.799 (#126)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.747 (#146)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 \| GP 31 More →	1069 (#171)	RD 138 \| GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-04	vs	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	W	60 - 59
2025-11-07	vs	Rice Owls	W	67 - 63
2025-11-12	vs	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	W	83 - 69
2025-11-17	vs	Oregon State Beavers	W	87 - 75
2025-11-24	vs	Auburn Tigers	L	73 - 84
2025-11-25	vs	San Diego State Aztecs	L	80 - 97
2025-11-27	@	Creighton Bluejays	L	66 - 76
2025-12-02	vs	USC Trojans	L	77 - 82
2025-12-13	vs	UC Davis Aggies	W	104 - 62
2025-12-17	vs	Portland Pilots	W	94 - 69
2025-12-21	vs	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	82 - 91
2025-12-28	vs	Omaha Mavericks	W	80 - 57
2026-01-02	@	Maryland Terrapins	W	64 - 54
2026-01-05	@	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	L	85 - 88
2026-01-08	vs	Ohio State Buckeyes	L	62 - 72
2026-01-13	@	Nebraska Cornhuskers	L	55 - 90
2026-01-17	vs	Michigan Wolverines	L	71 - 81
2026-01-20	vs	Michigan State Spartans	L	52 - 68
2026-01-25	@	Washington Huskies	L	57 - 72
2026-01-28	vs	UCLA Bruins	L	57 - 73
2026-02-01	vs	Iowa Hawkeyes	L	66 - 84
2026-02-07	@	Purdue Boilermakers	L	64 - 68
2026-02-09	@	Indiana Hoosiers	L	74 - 92
2026-02-14	vs	Penn State Nittany Lions	W	83 - 72
2026-02-17	vs	Minnesota Golden Gophers	L	44 - 61
2026-02-21	@	USC Trojans	W	71 - 70
2026-02-25	vs	Wisconsin Badgers	W	85 - 71
2026-02-28	@	Northwestern Wildcats	L	62 - 63
2026-03-03	@	Illinois Fighting Illini	L	54 - 80
2026-03-07	vs	Washington Huskies	W	85 - 79
2026-03-10	vs	Maryland Terrapins	L	60 - 70

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
N. Bittle	-	24	31.4	17.3	7.0	2.6	0.9	1.9	2.2	12.5	14.9	30	1.7	3.1	48.2	33.0	73.2	0.41	58.6	54.2
J. Shelstad	-	11	34.6	15.2	2.8	5.2	1.5	0.1	1.6	14.3	8.9	33	2.2	4.6	37.6	30.2	87.0	0.14	50.0	46.8
K. Evans Jr.	-	30	31.0	13.3	7.4	2.0	1.0	1.3	1.9	9.0	14.1	-89	-4.2	-7.8	45.4	30.4	79.9	-0.08	59.0	51.1
TK Simpkins	-	30	32.0	12.5	3.0	2.4	0.9	0.2	2.1	9.7	7.2	76	3.5	7.0	42.4	35.3	84.4	0.58	56.3	50.5
Wei Lin	-	29	17.9	6.7	0.9	1.7	0.4	0.0	1.2	6.1	2.4	-80	-3.8	-9.2	34.3	29.8	82.4	-0.58	48.6	43.0
S. Stewart	-	31	23.1	6.6	5.2	1.2	0.9	0.5	1.2	5.2	7.9	0	0.0	0.0	51.2	100.0	52.9	-0.11	52.9	51.5
D. Lindsay	-	31	20.5	5.3	2.7	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.8	4.7	4.9	40	1.8	3.7	40.8	33.3	55.8	0.82	49.1	47.3
D. Pryor	-	15	17.9	3.1	2.6	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.6	2.4	4.6	-63	-3.9	-9.6	47.2	26.7	47.4	-0.27	53.0	52.8
J. Phillips	-	26	11.3	2.7	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.5	2.8	0.9	-36	-2.2	-8.0	31.5	29.5	83.3	-0.08	45.6	43.8
D. Carter	-	26	14.3	2.6	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.8	2.2	1.9	-10	-0.6	-2.5	39.7	34.8	85.7	0.34	55.7	53.4
O. Kobzystyi	-	18	9.4	2.6	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.2	2.1	-25	-1.8	-7.3	43.6	38.1	57.1	0.07	54.7	53.8
Ege Demir	-	18	8.4	2.0	3.4	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	2.1	3.8	-15	-0.8	-3.6	44.7	0	40.0	0.11	44.8	44.7
L. Johnson	-	11	6.0	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	0.7	-17	-3.4	-13.9	33.3	25.0	50.0	0.23	44.4	41.7
Efe Vatan	F	5	3.0	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	-4	-1.3	-15.7	66.7	0	66.7	-0.02	69.4	66.7
M. Stewart	F	2	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0
JJ Frakes	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Rian Gonzales	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-0.03	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG