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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bittle 34 6-10 1-3 3-4 7 3 0 5 5 16 16 +8.9
K. Evans Jr. 33 5-10 0-1 2-4 8 1 1 1 2 12 11 +10.5
TK Simpkins 31 5-10 1-4 5-6 7 4 1 0 2 16 16 +6.5
W. Lin 22 2-5 1-2 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 +0.8
D. Carter 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +7.6
D. Lindsay 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 +3.2
S. Stewart 14 2-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 6 +2.6
J. Phillips 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 2 +3.7
D. Pryor 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 +1.6
E. Demir 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Washington 38 6-14 1-4 4-5 12 0 1 2 0 17 18 -5.4
E. Saunders 32 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -4.6
D. Adams 32 3-15 1-7 2-4 4 3 0 0 3 9 -2 -2.8
A. Mills 26 1-10 0-4 2-2 6 2 0 1 1 4 2 -8.4
I. Watts 23 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 11 7 -6.9
D. Coit 21 2-9 1-7 3-3 0 1 0 0 3 8 -3 -5.4
M. Rice 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
G. Turkson Jr. 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.3
C. Metcalf 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.8

* = starter