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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% -
Bradley-Terry 9.7% 90.3% -
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 15.1% 84.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TK Simpkins 36 6-13 2-7 0-0 3 3 4 0 1 14 10 -
N. Bittle 34 6-14 1-8 10-14 5 2 0 1 0 23 17 -
S. Stewart 33 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 0 2 4 10 -
K. Evans Jr. 29 2-7 0-2 1-2 7 3 2 0 2 5 8 -
W. Lin 18 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Lindsay 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
D. Carter 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. Phillips 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
L. Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Kobzystyi 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 38 5-12 1-4 2-3 4 4 1 0 6 13 4 -
F. Loyer 32 4-7 3-4 7-8 4 2 1 0 2 18 16 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 28 4-8 0-0 4-5 8 4 1 0 1 12 16 -
C.J. Cox 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
O. Cluff 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Jacobsen 20 3-3 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
G. Harris 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
O. Mayer 14 1-3 0-2 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Benter 12 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter