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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model South Dakota State Jackrabbits Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% -
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sayler * 33 7-12 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 14 4 -21.7
J. Jackson * 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 8 9 +2.3
M. Mors * 27 2-8 1-6 2-2 5 0 3 0 2 7 5 -10.2
K. Garry * 24 5-10 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 13 5 -12.5
A. Squires * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -6.8
L. Haertle 25 5-10 1-2 3-6 6 1 0 0 2 14 9 -10.8
C. Delzell 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 5 6 -1.7
D. Wilkinson 19 2-7 0-0 4-6 1 1 0 0 2 8 1 -8.0
T. Buchanan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +2.1

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad * 37 8-19 4-13 2-3 3 8 3 0 0 22 17 +11.0
N. Bittle * 31 5-9 1-2 3-5 10 3 1 2 2 14 19 +23.8
D. Lindsay * 27 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 8 9 +13.7
TK Simpkins * 27 6-11 5-10 3-4 2 0 1 0 3 20 9 +13.3
K. Evans Jr. * 23 1-5 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 5 7 +2.9
S. Stewart 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 6 4 +2.7
O. Kobzystyi 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -0.1
D. Carter 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.1
W. Lin 8 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +5.9
E. Demir 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -2.0

* = starter