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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 87.6% 12.4% -
Margin 92.1% 7.9% -13.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% -
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ike 37 4-14 0-4 9-11 11 3 0 0 1 17 16 +2.9
B. Smith 27 7-10 1-2 6-6 3 7 2 0 0 21 23 +4.2
E. Innocenti 26 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 2 -1.4
B. Huff 26 9-16 1-3 1-1 6 1 0 1 0 20 12 +5.9
S. Venters 25 4-5 4-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 14 12 -2.3
J. Warley 16 0-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -7.4
A. Miller 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 9 5 -0.7
T. Grant-Foster 14 2-5 1-1 5-6 4 1 0 1 1 10 10 +4.1
M. Saint-Supéry 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bittle 37 10-19 3-8 5-5 9 5 1 4 0 28 28 +1.7
J. Shelstad 36 5-13 2-9 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 12 2 -6.4
TK Simpkins 33 4-8 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 13 6 -5.0
K. Evans Jr. 30 4-8 2-5 4-4 7 4 0 0 3 14 14 +0.3
D. Lindsay 21 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 +3.8
W. Lin 17 3-4 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 9 7 +8.3
S. Stewart 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 4 -15.0
E. Demir 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 +9.4
J. Phillips 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.9

* = starter