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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Margin 92.3% 7.7% -13.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 76.5% 23.5% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Graham Ike 37 4-14 0-4 9-11 11 3 0 0 1 17 16 +5.9
Braeden Smith 27 7-10 1-2 6-6 3 7 2 0 0 21 23 +8.1
Braden Huff 26 9-16 1-3 1-1 6 1 0 1 0 20 12 +10.6
Emmanuel Innocenti 26 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 2 -3.2
Steele Venters 25 4-5 4-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 14 12 -3.4
Jalen Warley 16 0-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2.5
Adam Miller 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 9 5 +4.0
Tyon Grant-Foster 14 2-5 1-1 5-6 4 1 0 1 1 10 10 +11.0
M. Saint-Supรฉry 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -4.1

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Bittle 37 10-19 3-8 5-5 9 5 1 4 0 28 28 +4.0
Jackson Shelstad 36 5-13 2-9 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 12 2 -7.8
TK Simpkins 33 4-8 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 13 6 -5.2
Kwame Evans Jr. 30 4-8 2-5 4-4 7 4 0 0 3 14 14 +0.0
Dezdrick Lindsay 21 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 +4.6
Wei Lin 17 3-4 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 9 7 +6.4
Sean Stewart 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 4 -17.3
Ege Demir 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 +10.3
Jamari Phillips 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +6.6

* = starter