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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 โœ— (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—

Actual: Oregon Ducks -17 (44-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Tyson 40 3-10 1-4 5-6 8 3 1 0 3 12 11 +18.3
Grayson Grove 38 5-9 2-4 1-2 8 4 3 0 1 13 18 +25.4
Bobby Durkin 37 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 11 8 +22.5
Isaac Asuma 36 6-14 3-10 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 15 6 +20.5
Langston Reynolds 33 3-8 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 1 2 8 6 +7.1
Kai Shinholster 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 4 -1.3

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kwame Evans Jr. 36 5-9 1-2 2-2 9 4 1 1 2 13 17 -18.0
Nate Bittle 35 7-15 1-5 0-0 7 4 1 2 1 15 13 -13.2
TK Simpkins 34 0-10 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 0 -10 -17.8
Dezdrick Lindsay 28 4-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 8 6 -1.8
Wei Lin 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -6.8
Drew Carter 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -16.0
Sean Stewart 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -9.9
Oleksandr Kobzystyi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1
Jamari Phillips 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

* = starter