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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -17 (44-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tyson 40 3-10 1-4 5-6 8 3 1 0 3 12 11 -
G. Grove 38 5-9 2-4 1-2 8 4 3 0 1 13 18 -
B. Durkin 37 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 11 8 -
I. Asuma 36 6-14 3-10 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 15 6 -
L. Reynolds 33 3-8 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 1 2 8 6 -
K. Shinholster 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 4 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Evans Jr. 36 5-9 1-2 2-2 9 4 1 1 2 13 17 -
N. Bittle 35 7-15 1-5 0-0 7 4 1 2 1 15 13 -
TK Simpkins 34 0-10 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 0 -10 -
D. Lindsay 28 4-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
W. Lin 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -
D. Carter 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Stewart 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
O. Kobzystyi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Phillips 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter