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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 93.2% 6.8% -
Bradley-Terry 94.6% 5.4% -
Margin 98.0% 2.0% -21.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Log Adjusted 96.0% 4.0% -
Points Off/Def 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 34 1-6 0-1 4-4 10 2 2 2 0 6 16 +7.7
E. Cadeau 30 5-8 2-4 5-7 1 5 1 0 4 17 12 +5.9
A. Mara 25 3-5 0-0 6-9 2 3 0 3 2 12 13 +11.3
N. Burnett 25 6-10 3-7 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 15 12 +11.0
W. Tschetter 23 2-5 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 8 9 +7.4
M. Johnson Jr. 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 9 3 +3.1
L.J. Cason 16 2-5 2-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 2 -3.0
R. Gayle Jr. 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 +1.5
T. McKenney 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 +2.5

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TK Simpkins 39 6-16 0-4 0-0 0 2 4 0 1 12 1 -5.3
K. Evans Jr. 35 6-13 2-4 4-5 7 1 2 2 2 18 15 -3.8
W. Lin 33 2-12 1-7 6-6 1 4 0 0 1 11 3 -9.9
S. Stewart 30 10-14 1-1 1-3 8 0 1 2 3 22 16 -3.9
D. Lindsay 22 1-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 0 -4.2
D. Pryor 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 6 -6.8
E. Demir 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -7.4
D. Carter 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -1.5
L. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2
O. Kobzystyi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter