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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2026 Team Stats (40 games)

87.3
PPG
69.5
Opp
+17.8
Margin
50.7%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
74.8%
FT%
40.1
RPG
18.6
APG
11.7
TO
82.0
Pace
92.2
AdjO
61.1
AdjD
#1
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1502 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1526 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1308 (#1) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +31.1 (#1) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +43.2 (#1) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.934 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.0 More → 0.885 (#51) NetEff +20.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +39.6 More → 0.990 (#1) AdjNet +39.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.1 More → 0.990 (#1) AdjNet +40.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.944 (#1) AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.4 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.885 (#1) AdjO 86.4 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.986 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.981 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 40 More → 1559 (#1) RD 86 | GP 40

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 121 - 78
2025-11-11 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 84
2025-11-14 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 67 - 63
2025-11-19 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 86 - 61
2025-11-24 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 94 - 54
2025-11-25 vs Auburn Tigers W 102 - 72
2025-11-26 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 101 - 61
2025-12-06 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 101 - 60
2025-12-09 vs Villanova Wildcats W 89 - 61
2025-12-13 @ Maryland Terrapins W 101 - 83
2025-12-21 vs La Salle Explorers W 102 - 50
2025-12-29 vs McNeese Cowboys W 112 - 71
2026-01-02 vs USC Trojans W 96 - 66
2026-01-06 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 74 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 88 - 91
2026-01-14 @ Washington Huskies W 82 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Oregon Ducks W 81 - 71
2026-01-20 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 86 - 72
2026-01-23 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 74 - 62
2026-01-27 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 75 - 72
2026-01-30 @ Michigan State Spartans W 83 - 71
2026-02-05 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 110 - 69
2026-02-08 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 82 - 61
2026-02-11 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 87 - 75
2026-02-14 vs UCLA Bruins W 86 - 56
2026-02-17 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 91 - 80
2026-02-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 68
2026-02-24 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 77 - 67
2026-02-27 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 84 - 70
2026-03-05 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 71 - 68
2026-03-08 vs Michigan State Spartans W 90 - 80
2026-03-13 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 71 - 67
2026-03-14 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 68 - 65
2026-03-15 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 72 - 80
2026-03-19 vs Howard Bison W 101 - 80
2026-03-21 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 95 - 72
2026-03-27 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 90 - 77
2026-03-29 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 95 - 62
2026-04-04 @ Arizona Wildcats W 91 - 73
2026-04-06 vs UConn Huskies W 69 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Y. Lendeborg Y. Lendeborg - 40 30.2 15.1 6.8 3.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 9.7 16.6 -19 -1.4 -12.6 51.5 37.2 82.4 0.14 65.5 60.2
M. Johnson Jr. M. Johnson Jr. F 40 25.1 13.1 7.3 1.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 7.8 14.2 312 14.2 27.4 62.3 34.3 78.2 2.37 68.7 64.2
Aday Mara Aday Mara - 40 23.4 12.1 6.8 2.4 0.3 2.6 2.0 7.5 14.7 -19 -1.9 -18.0 66.8 27.3 56.4 0.23 66.7 67.3
E. Cadeau E. Cadeau - 40 27.3 10.5 2.7 5.9 0.8 0.2 2.4 8.3 9.5 -34 -2.8 -26.8 41.1 37.6 70.9 -0.02 54.9 50.9
Trey Mckenney Trey Mckenney - 40 22.0 9.9 2.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.9 6.8 6.3 269 12.2 27.0 46.0 39.1 89.5 2.13 63.7 58.4
L.J. Cason L.J. Cason G 28 18.6 8.4 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.0 1.7 5.8 6.0 168 8.0 20.0 50.3 40.2 70.9 0.21 63.2 60.6
N. Burnett N. Burnett G 40 19.8 8.2 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.7 6.2 6.0 203 8.1 22.8 45.3 37.5 77.6 1.48 60.4 57.5
R. Gayle Jr. R. Gayle Jr. G 39 21.0 7.3 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.5 1.3 5.6 6.3 238 9.5 22.5 46.3 31.8 75.0 1.47 56.1 51.1
W. Tschetter W. Tschetter F 40 13.7 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.7 3.2 56 2.5 9.2 37.6 34.5 90.9 0.95 57.1 50.9
W. Grady W. Grady - 9 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.6 10 1.2 8.1 35.0 31.6 85.7 0.12 56.3 50.0
Oscar Goodman Oscar Goodman - 16 5.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.6 -4 -1.3 -48.5 41.7 0.0 40.0 -0.0 42.0 41.7
Malick Kordel Malick Kordel - 14 4.1 1.2 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.1 -7 -2.3 -118.3 57.1 0.0 20.0 -0.0 52.5 57.1
C. May C. May G 8 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 -9 -2.2 -29.7 50.0 66.7 50.0 -0.16 71.7 75.0
H. Eisley Jr. H. Eisley Jr. G 9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 11 2.8 88.9 20.0 20.0 0.0 0.05 25.5 30.0
H. Hochberg H. Hochberg F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ricky Liburd Ricky Liburd G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG