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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

80.5
PPG
76.5
Opp
+4.0
Margin
42.5%
FG%
22.6%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
38.5
RPG
15.0
APG
11.5
TO
73.5
Est. poss./game
61.3
Adj PPG
66.4
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1634 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1345, returning +28, transfers +78, freshmen +182 More → 1587 (#3) Preseason prior 1634 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1345, returning +28, transfers +78, freshmen +182
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1420 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +265 elo More → 1164 (#7) HCA +265 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → +21.0 (#8) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → +15.5 (#21) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.888 (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.934 (#20) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.6 More → 0.937 (#20) AdjNet +4.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.745 (#27) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.642 (#48) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.816 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 194 | GP 2 More → 1383 (#3) RD 194 | GP 2

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 84 - 68
2026-11-06 vs UConn Huskies L 77 - 85
2026-11-11 vs Marquette Golden Eagles - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Mckenney Trey Mckenney G 2 35.5 19.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 15.0 8.5 - - - - 43.3 46.7 100.0 - 59.7 55.0
Roddy Gayle Jr. Roddy Gayle Jr. G 2 28.0 17.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 11.5 10.0 - - - - 56.5 0.0 90.0 - 63.9 56.5
J.P. Estrella J.P. Estrella F 2 27.0 17.0 10.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 8.0 22.0 - - - - 81.2 0.0 80.0 - 83.3 81.2
Quinn Costello Quinn Costello F 2 19.5 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 8.5 3.0 - - - - 35.3 26.7 0.0 - 44.7 47.1
Elliot Cadeau Elliot Cadeau G 2 31.0 7.5 1.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 2.5 - - - - 25.0 11.1 66.7 - 37.6 28.1
Oscar Goodman Oscar Goodman F 2 16.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 4.5 4.5 - - - - 22.2 0.0 50.0 - 27.9 22.2
Jalen Reed Jalen Reed F 2 10.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ricky Liburd Ricky Liburd G 2 17.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 2.5 - - - - 11.1 14.3 100.0 - 25.3 16.7
Moustapha Thiam Moustapha Thiam C 1 15.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kenny Noland Kenny Noland G 2 8.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Malachi Brown Malachi Brown G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Lincoln Cosby Lincoln Cosby F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Harrison Hochberg Harrison Hochberg F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brandon McCoy Jr. Brandon McCoy Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Howard Eisley Jr. Howard Eisley Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Joseph Hartman Joseph Hartman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Marcus Moller Marcus Moller C 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Michigan players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Franz Wagner 2019-21 NBA Orlando Magic 8 36.1 19.6 6.4 8.5 11-05 15 pts, 8 reb, 15 ast 8 GP, 19.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 8.5 APG
Duncan Robinson 2015-18 NBA Detroit Pistons 8 31.0 19.0 1.9 2.2 11-04 27 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast 8 GP, 19.0 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 2.2 APG
Moritz Wagner 2015-18 NBA Brooklyn Nets 8 18.8 10.4 3.4 1.1 11-04 6 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast 8 GP, 10.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 1.1 APG
Danny Wolf 2024-25 NBA Brooklyn Nets 3 15.3 9.3 4.3 2.0 11-04 13 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast 3 GP, 9.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 APG
Moussa Diabaté 2021-22 NBA Charlotte Hornets 9 28.7 8.9 9.1 2.1 11-04 7 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast 9 GP, 8.9 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.1 APG
Aday Mara 2025-26 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 9 18.9 7.0 5.7 1.1 11-06 9 pts, 7 reb, 0 ast 9 GP, 7.0 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.1 APG
Jordan Poole 2017-19 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 4 15.9 6.0 2.0 3.0 10-28 2 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast 4 GP, 6.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 3.0 APG
Tim Hardaway Jr. 2010-13 NBA Miami Heat 9 15.5 5.1 1.4 0.7 11-05 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast 9 GP, 5.1 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 0.7 APG
Colin Castleton 2018-20 NBA Orlando Magic 3 4.2 3.0 1.3 0.7 11-05 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast 3 GP, 3.0 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 0.7 APG
Jace Howard 2020-25 NBA Dallas Mavericks 4 2.3 1.8 0.0 0.0 11-06 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast 4 GP, 1.8 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG
DeVante Jones 2021-22 EuroCup London Lions 6 23.5 12.2 2.8 3.3 11-04 13 pts, 4 reb, 7 ast 4 GP, 12.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-06 Jace Howard NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz 1 0 0 0 Box
2026-11-06 Aday Mara NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies 18 9 7 0 Box
2026-11-05 Tim Hardaway Jr. NBA Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors 4 0 0 1 Box
2026-11-05 Franz Wagner NBA Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns 38 15 8 15 Box
2026-11-05 Colin Castleton NBA Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns 2 0 0 1 Box
2026-11-04 Tim Hardaway Jr. NBA Miami Heat @ LA Clippers 7 0 0 0 Box
2026-11-04 Moussa Diabaté NBA Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets 29 7 6 2 Box
2026-11-04 Moritz Wagner NBA Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets 20 6 1 0 Box
2026-11-04 Duncan Robinson NBA Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers 37 27 1 2 Box
2026-11-04 DeVante Jones EuroCup London Lions @ Maxima Roma 34 13 4 7 Box
2026-11-04 Danny Wolf NBA Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets 19 13 5 3 Box
2026-11-04 Aday Mara NBA Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers 25 9 5 2 Box
2026-11-02 Tim Hardaway Jr. NBA Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers 19 9 0 0 Box
2026-11-02 Moussa Diabaté NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons 24 7 9 2 Box
2026-11-02 Moritz Wagner NBA Brooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks 20 6 1 2 Box
2026-11-02 Jace Howard NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings 2 2 0 0 Box
2026-11-02 Franz Wagner NBA Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards 38 24 3 6 Box
2026-11-02 Duncan Robinson NBA Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets 32 24 2 3 Box
2026-11-02 Aday Mara NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers 20 10 9 0 Box
2026-11-01 Moritz Wagner NBA Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers 21 14 6 0 Box
2026-11-01 Franz Wagner NBA Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics 40 14 6 12 Box
2026-10-31 Moussa Diabaté NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers 28 10 8 3 Box
2026-10-30 Duncan Robinson NBA Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets 26 17 4 2 Box
2026-10-30 Danny Wolf NBA Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons 12 9 6 2 Box
2026-10-28 Jordan Poole NBA New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets 7 2 1 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

134 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Estrella41% Gayle38% Costello100% Cadeau20% Mckenney100% Mckenney60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Cadeau14% Cadeau21% Mckenney80% Mckenney100% Mckenney67% Goodman31% Estrella33% Cadeau29% Mckenney67% Costello43%
Misses: who misses most here

Trey MckenneyJ.P. EstrellaRoddy Gayle Jr.Quinn CostelloElliot CadeauOscar Goodman

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-24 70.8 34 J.P. Estrella 41% (14 pts) Roddy Gayle Jr. 18% (6 pts) Elliot Cadeau 14% (1 misses) Jalen Reed 14% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 26-40 65.0 52 Roddy Gayle Jr. 38% (20 pts) J.P. Estrella 23% (12 pts) Elliot Cadeau 21% (3 misses) Roddy Gayle Jr. 21% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 0-5 0.0 0 - - Trey Mckenney 80% (4 misses) Quinn Costello 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Trey Mckenney 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-3 0.0 0 - - Trey Mckenney 67% (2 misses) Roddy Gayle Jr. 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-14 7.1 3 Quinn Costello 100% (3 pts) - Oscar Goodman 31% (4 misses) Ricky Liburd 23% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 5-8 62.5 15 Elliot Cadeau 20% (3 pts) Kenny Noland 20% (3 pts) J.P. Estrella 33% (1 misses) Ricky Liburd 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-14 0.0 0 - - Elliot Cadeau 29% (4 misses) Trey Mckenney 21% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-6 50.0 9 Trey Mckenney 100% (9 pts) - Trey Mckenney 67% (2 misses) J.P. Estrella 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-19 26.3 15 Trey Mckenney 60% (9 pts) Quinn Costello 40% (6 pts) Quinn Costello 43% (6 misses) Elliot Cadeau 29% (4 misses)