Michigan
2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1587 (#3) | Preseason prior 1634 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1345, returning +28, transfers +78, freshmen +182 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1420 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1164 (#7) | HCA +265 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.0 (#8) | HCA +14.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.5 (#21) | HCA +11.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.888 (#37) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.934 (#20) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.937 (#20) | AdjNet +4.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.745 (#27) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.642 (#48) | AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.816 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.801 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1383 (#3) | RD 194 | GP 2 |
2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | UConn Huskies | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Marquette Golden Eagles | - | Preview |
2027 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trey Mckenney
|
G | 2 | 35.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 15.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 43.3 | 46.7 | 100.0 | - | 59.7 | 55.0 |
Roddy Gayle Jr.
|
G | 2 | 28.0 | 17.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 56.5 | 0.0 | 90.0 | - | 63.9 | 56.5 |
J.P. Estrella
|
F | 2 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | - | - | - | - | 81.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 83.3 | 81.2 |
Quinn Costello
|
F | 2 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 35.3 | 26.7 | 0.0 | - | 44.7 | 47.1 |
Elliot Cadeau
|
G | 2 | 31.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 11.1 | 66.7 | - | 37.6 | 28.1 |
Oscar Goodman
|
F | 2 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 27.9 | 22.2 |
Jalen Reed
|
F | 2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Ricky Liburd
|
G | 2 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 25.3 | 16.7 |
Moustapha Thiam
|
C | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Kenny Noland
|
G | 2 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Malachi Brown
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Lincoln Cosby
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Harrison Hochberg
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Brandon McCoy Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Howard Eisley Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Joseph Hartman
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marcus Moller
|
C | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Michigan players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 2019-21 | NBA | Orlando Magic | 8 | 36.1 | 19.6 | 6.4 | 8.5 | 11-05 15 pts, 8 reb, 15 ast | 8 GP, 19.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 8.5 APG |
| Duncan Robinson | 2015-18 | NBA | Detroit Pistons | 8 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 11-04 27 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast | 8 GP, 19.0 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 2.2 APG |
| Moritz Wagner | 2015-18 | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 8 | 18.8 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 11-04 6 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 8 GP, 10.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 1.1 APG |
| Danny Wolf | 2024-25 | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 15.3 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 11-04 13 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast | 3 GP, 9.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Moussa Diabaté | 2021-22 | NBA | Charlotte Hornets | 9 | 28.7 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 11-04 7 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast | 9 GP, 8.9 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.1 APG |
| Aday Mara | 2025-26 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | 9 | 18.9 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 11-06 9 pts, 7 reb, 0 ast | 9 GP, 7.0 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.1 APG |
| Jordan Poole | 2017-19 | NBA | New Orleans Pelicans | 4 | 15.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10-28 2 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 6.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 3.0 APG |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 2010-13 | NBA | Miami Heat | 9 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 11-05 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast | 9 GP, 5.1 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| Colin Castleton | 2018-20 | NBA | Orlando Magic | 3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 11-05 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast | 3 GP, 3.0 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| Jace Howard | 2020-25 | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11-06 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 1.8 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| DeVante Jones | 2021-22 | EuroCup | London Lions | 6 | 23.5 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11-04 13 pts, 4 reb, 7 ast | 4 GP, 12.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Jace Howard | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Utah Jazz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Aday Mara | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 18 | 9 | 7 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Golden State Warriors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Franz Wagner | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Phoenix Suns | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Colin Castleton | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Phoenix Suns | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | NBA | Miami Heat | @ LA Clippers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Moussa Diabaté | NBA | Charlotte Hornets | @ Brooklyn Nets | 29 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Moritz Wagner | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | vs Charlotte Hornets | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Duncan Robinson | NBA | Detroit Pistons | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 37 | 27 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | DeVante Jones | EuroCup | London Lions | @ Maxima Roma | 34 | 13 | 4 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Danny Wolf | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | vs Charlotte Hornets | 19 | 13 | 5 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Aday Mara | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Moussa Diabaté | NBA | Charlotte Hornets | vs Detroit Pistons | 24 | 7 | 9 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Moritz Wagner | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ New York Knicks | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Jace Howard | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Sacramento Kings | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Franz Wagner | NBA | Orlando Magic | vs Washington Wizards | 38 | 24 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Duncan Robinson | NBA | Detroit Pistons | @ Charlotte Hornets | 32 | 24 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Aday Mara | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 20 | 10 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Moritz Wagner | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ Indiana Pacers | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Franz Wagner | NBA | Orlando Magic | vs Boston Celtics | 40 | 14 | 6 | 12 | Box |
| 2026-10-31 | Moussa Diabaté | NBA | Charlotte Hornets | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Duncan Robinson | NBA | Detroit Pistons | @ Brooklyn Nets | 26 | 17 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Danny Wolf | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | vs Detroit Pistons | 12 | 9 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Jordan Poole | NBA | New Orleans Pelicans | vs Denver Nuggets | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
134 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Trey MckenneyJ.P. EstrellaRoddy Gayle Jr.Quinn CostelloElliot CadeauOscar Goodman
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 17-24 | 70.8 | 34 | J.P. Estrella 41% (14 pts) | Roddy Gayle Jr. 18% (6 pts) | Elliot Cadeau 14% (1 misses) | Jalen Reed 14% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 26-40 | 65.0 | 52 | Roddy Gayle Jr. 38% (20 pts) | J.P. Estrella 23% (12 pts) | Elliot Cadeau 21% (3 misses) | Roddy Gayle Jr. 21% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Trey Mckenney 80% (4 misses) | Quinn Costello 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Trey Mckenney 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Trey Mckenney 67% (2 misses) | Roddy Gayle Jr. 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-14 | 7.1 | 3 | Quinn Costello 100% (3 pts) | - | Oscar Goodman 31% (4 misses) | Ricky Liburd 23% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-8 | 62.5 | 15 | Elliot Cadeau 20% (3 pts) | Kenny Noland 20% (3 pts) | J.P. Estrella 33% (1 misses) | Ricky Liburd 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 0-14 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Elliot Cadeau 29% (4 misses) | Trey Mckenney 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-6 | 50.0 | 9 | Trey Mckenney 100% (9 pts) | - | Trey Mckenney 67% (2 misses) | J.P. Estrella 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Trey Mckenney 60% (9 pts) | Quinn Costello 40% (6 pts) | Quinn Costello 43% (6 misses) | Elliot Cadeau 29% (4 misses) |