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Model Predictions

Model Marquette Go... Michigan Wolverines Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
12.5% (#31) 87.5% (#3) Michiga... -13.1 68-82
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
10.2% (#30) 89.8% (#4) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
15.2% (#29) 84.8% (#7) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
35.1% (#20) 64.9% (#24) Michiga... -6.7 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
35.8% (#19) 64.2% (#25) Michiga... -6.4 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
89.1% (#3) 10.9% (#39) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
66.4% (#4) 33.6% (#25) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
68.0% (#4) 32.0% (#25) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
32.4% (#9) 67.6% (#28) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
37.2% (#6) 62.8% (#45) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
47.6% (#9) 52.4% (#18) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
48.6% (#9) 51.4% (#22) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
32.3% (#28) 67.7% (#3) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Marquette Go... Michigan Wolverines
Games 2 2
PPG 85.5 80.5
FG% 48.2% 42.5%
3PT% 26.7% 22.6%
FT% 63.9% 76.7%
RPG 48.5 38.5
APG 24.0 15.0
SPG 10.5 7.0
BPG 8.0 3.5
TOPG 7.0 11.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Marquette Go... Michigan Wolverines
Adj. Off Eff 118.0 102.1
Adj. Def Eff 82.0 97.9
Adj. Net Eff 36.0 4.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Marquette Golden Eagles Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Sananda Fru 10.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 22.0
Nigel James Jr. 6.5 2.0 5.5 2.5 0.5 21.5
Royce Parham 14.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 20.0
Adrien Stevens 7.5 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 19.5
Joshua Clark 13.0 7.5 1.0 0.5 3.0 18.5

Michigan Wolverines Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Trey McKenney 19.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 35.5
Elliot Cadeau 7.5 1.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 31.0
Roddy Gayle Jr. 17.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 28.0
J.P. Estrella 17.0 10.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 27.0
Quinn Costello 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 19.5