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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% -
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% -
Margin 82.5% 17.5% -8.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% -
Points Off/Def 66.3% 33.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -10 (62-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 37 5-14 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 12 3 +5.9
D. Royal 36 5-9 1-2 3-3 10 3 0 0 4 14 14 +4.6
C. Tilly 31 4-6 0-0 6-9 5 2 1 1 1 14 16 +6.8
A. Bynum 27 4-10 0-3 2-3 4 2 1 4 0 10 11 +7.2
J. Mobley Jr. 26 3-7 2-5 5-6 5 1 2 0 2 13 12 +7.2
G. Cupps 23 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 9 8 +4.4
I. Njegovan 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 +1.6
C. White 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Lin 38 4-14 1-10 1-1 1 5 1 0 2 10 1 -9.9
TK Simpkins 34 2-9 0-5 8-9 4 2 1 0 1 12 9 -12.3
N. Bittle 33 5-19 2-6 2-2 9 2 0 3 3 14 6 -0.5
K. Evans Jr. 26 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 2 0 10 8 -5.7
S. Stewart 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 0 5 11 -13.4
D. Pryor 15 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 1 1 4 -1.8
J. Phillips 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 4 +7.9
D. Lindsay 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 +3.1
E. Demir 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.8
D. Carter 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.3

* = starter