Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | -11.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.9% | 9.1% | -12.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -16 (52-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Cooper * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +18.6 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Coen Carr * | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 19 | +15.3 |
| Divine Ugochukwu * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Cameron Ward | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Trey Fort | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +8.3 |
| Jordan Scott | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.9 |
| Kur Teng | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Brennan Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Colin Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Sean Stewart * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -13.9 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. * | 27 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -3.2 |
| Wei Lin * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -17.7 |
| Devon Pryor * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Dezdrick Lindsay | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Drew Carter | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Ege Demir | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +9.7 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Luke Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
* = starter