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2025-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad * 36 4-15 1-6 0-1 3 5 0 0 1 9 1 -15.7
TK Simpkins * 35 2-10 0-3 1-1 6 3 1 0 2 5 3 -8.6
S. Stewart * 30 8-12 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 3 1 18 16 -3.7
K. Evans Jr. * 26 6-12 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 4 3 12 11 -5.2
D. Pryor * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
D. Lindsay 28 6-9 0-1 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 14 8 +4.8
E. Demir 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 4 10 -1.4
O. Kobzystyi 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -9.7
J. Phillips 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -9.8
D. Carter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dix * 35 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 8 6 +8.5
B. Harper * 35 6-12 0-1 6-8 9 1 2 0 1 18 17 +15.2
N. Graves * 33 4-10 1-3 3-3 4 5 0 0 1 12 10 +13.0
J. Green * 30 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 2 0 9 10 +9.5
O. Freeman * 17 5-9 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 0 1 14 12 -2.3
K. Konan 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 7 +2.7
H. Greer 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 +4.8
F. Zugic 9 0-1 0-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -1.2
I. Traudt 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
Ty Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1

* = starter