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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Program History
Coach: Shane Burcar

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

50.0
PPG
75.3
Opp
-8.4
Margin
36.4%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
55.6%
FT%
27.0
RPG
8.0
APG
15.0
TO
74.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 936 (#767) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 954 (#485) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +13.6 (#361) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.9 (#342) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.096 (#113) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -64.8 More → 0.001 (#322) NetEff -64.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -31.2 More → 0.026 (#117) AdjNet -31.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -31.8 More → 0.024 (#117) AdjNet -31.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.386 (#532) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.422 (#341) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 32 More → 873 (#465) RD 134 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Oregon Ducks L 73 - 83
2012-11-12 @ UNLV Rebels L 54 - 92
2012-11-18 @ UC Davis Aggies W 85 - 82
2012-11-23 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 48 - 50
2012-11-24 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 70 - 62
2012-11-28 @ Arizona Wildcats L 50 - 93
2012-12-01 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 77 - 60
2012-12-05 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 86 - 92
2012-12-17 vs Montana State Bobcats W 87 - 80
2012-12-19 vs Montana Grizzlies L 56 - 62
2012-12-21 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 51 - 98
2012-12-27 @ BYU Cougars L 54 - 84
2013-01-03 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 57 - 50
2013-01-05 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 77 - 90
2013-01-10 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 59 - 82
2013-01-12 @ Portland State Vikings L 74 - 79
2013-01-17 @ Weber State Wildcats L 70 - 83
2013-01-19 @ Idaho State Bengals W 60 - 55
2013-01-24 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 67 - 65
2013-01-26 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 79 - 81
2013-02-02 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 67 - 78
2013-02-04 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 62 - 61
2013-02-07 vs Portland State Vikings W 79 - 72
2013-02-09 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 74 - 77
2013-02-14 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 68 - 76
2013-02-16 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 74 - 72
2013-02-23 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 50 - 84
2013-02-28 vs Idaho State Bengals W 67 - 58
2013-03-02 vs Weber State Wildcats L 78 - 80
2013-03-07 @ Montana State Bobcats L 79 - 83
2013-03-09 @ Montana Grizzlies L 50 - 63
2013-03-14 @ Weber State Wildcats L 58 - 84

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Rogers G. Rogers G 32 34.8 17.9 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.1 2.8 3.2 16.8 -190 -5.9 -7.2 38.6 36.4 87.5 -0.58 256.8 46.5
D. Russell D. Russell G 32 33.3 14.4 2.4 3.2 1.5 0.1 3.1 2.6 16.1 -210 -6.6 -8.2 36.6 27.3 66.7 -0.57 242.6 40.2
M. Jacobsen M. Jacobsen F 32 22.6 9.0 4.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 1.5 1.0 13.2 -91 -2.8 -5.4 60.6 0 64.7 0.02 354.5 60.6
S. Saldivar S. Saldivar G 29 32.7 6.6 5.6 4.6 1.4 0.1 2.3 1.1 14.7 -158 -5.4 -6.9 42.4 30.8 33.3 -0.18 278.3 48.5
G. Bewernick G. Bewernick F 31 27.9 6.0 5.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 1.3 0.9 11.7 -109 -3.5 -5.7 53.6 0.0 14.3 0.1 297.6 53.6
M. Dunn M. Dunn G 32 23.6 5.8 3.1 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.3 1.1 9.5 - - - 41.2 36.4 100.0 -0.14 265.2 47.1
B. Hamilton B. Hamilton F 17 10.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.8 4.5 -55 -3.2 -12.5 42.9 25.0 75.0 -0.43 194.1 46.4
E. Ekanem E. Ekanem F 31 10.2 3.1 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 4.7 -112 -3.6 -13.3 48.1 0 45.0 -0.99 134.1 48.1
B. Olayinka B. Olayinka F 5 8.8 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.2 3.0 -8 -1.6 -4.5 100.0 0 0 -0.05 500.0 100.0
J. Martin J. Martin F 32 13.4 2.0 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.2 5.0 -153 -4.8 -12.7 28.6 0 0 1.05 457.1 28.6
L. Flores L. Flores G 13 4.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.9 -63 -4.5 -29.4 33.3 0.0 0 -0.61 216.7 33.3
C. Heine C. Heine G 8 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 250.0 150.0
B. Gosar B. Gosar G 5 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG