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2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% -
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% -
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Barden * 37 5-8 1-1 2-5 10 0 3 0 1 13 17 -
T. Unruh * 37 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 7 3 -
T. Svihovec * 33 6-13 1-2 3-5 3 3 0 1 1 16 9 -
T. Huskisson * 22 3-5 1-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
C. Osborne * 17 4-8 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 9 5 -
P. Garnica 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Addo 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
J. Davis Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
G. Tucker 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Keane 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Rogers * 37 11-19 4-9 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 28 12 -
D. Russell * 36 5-12 1-5 2-6 0 6 1 0 3 13 5 -
G. Bewernick * 30 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
S. Saldivar * 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 5 2 0 3 5 10 -
M. Jacobsen * 26 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 8 9 -
M. Dunn 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Martin 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
E. Ekanem 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter