Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +2 (67-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Barden * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tate Unruh * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tim Huskisson * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| James Davis Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Tucker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Rogers * | 37 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 12 | - |
| DeWayne Russell * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Gaellan Bewernick * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Max Jacobsen * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Dunn | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jordyn Martin | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter