Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Barden * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| T. Unruh * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Svihovec * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Huskisson * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Osborne * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Garnica | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Addo | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Tucker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Keane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rogers * | 37 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 12 | - |
| D. Russell * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Jacobsen * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Dunn | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Martin | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter