Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Cherry * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Jamar * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Ward * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Gregory * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| M. Weisner | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Deshields | 18 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Hutchison | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Henderson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Coleman | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wiley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rogers * | 37 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Russell * | 28 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -2 | - |
| M. Jacobsen * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Dunn | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Martin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter