Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rogers * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 32 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| D. Russell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Jacobsen * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| M. Dunn | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Martin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Biglow * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 37 | - |
| C. Moon * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Egwuonwu * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 34 | - |
| F. Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| M. Colbert * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Coleman | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Robison | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Brumwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Dison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter