Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (79-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Huff * | 35 | 11-18 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19 | +2.4 |
| Aaron Anderson * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | -3.1 |
| Josh Schuler * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Jamal Webb * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Mitch Wilmer * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -17.7 |
| Lenny Antwi | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Doug Archer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Shane Benton | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +8.2 |
| Jordan Allard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Rogers * | 39 | 13-23 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 17 | -12.2 |
| Stallon Saldivar * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| DeWayne Russell * | 37 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Gaellan Bewernick * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Max Jacobsen * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Michael Dunn | 27 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Ephraim Ekanem | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Jordyn Martin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.4 |
* = starter