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2012-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% -
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Egwuonwu * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 2 3 1 12 28 -
X. Blount * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 10 16 -
F. Davis * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 14 21 -
A. Biglow * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 15 18 -
J. Stewart * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
M. Dison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 4 9 10 -
M. Colbert 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Robison 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -
C. Coleman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
E. Norman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 5 7 -
J. Budinich 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Russell * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 0 3 16 28 -
S. Saldivar * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 4 12 19 -
M. Jacobsen * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 2 1 22 34 -
G. Bewernick * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 13 19 -
G. Rogers * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 4 11 13 -
M. Dunn 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 2 4 -
J. Martin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
B. Olayinka 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Ekanem 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter