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2012-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% -
Bradley-Terry 7.8% 92.2% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.2 (24.8 off)
Pythagorean 9.5% 90.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +47 (98-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 7 15 -
G. Rogers * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 8 7 -
M. Jacobsen * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 10 15 -
D. Russell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 15 16 -
G. Bewernick * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Martin 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. Flores 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
B. Olayinka 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
M. Dunn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
E. Ekanem 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Heine 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Gosar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 1 0 10 24 -
J. Scott * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 2 11 18 -
A. Booker * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 17 24 -
S. Chen * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 6 12 -
S. Dinwiddie * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 4 0 3 15 27 -
X. Johnson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 17 20 -
E. Stalzer 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 5 -
X. Talton 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 8 -
J. Adams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 11 -
S. Harris-Tunks 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
B. Mills 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 7 -
B. Gamble 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter