Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | +11.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +11.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -3 (82-85). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Rogers * | 37 | 10-23 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Michael Dunn * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| DeWayne Russell * | 35 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 | +4.3 |
| Gaellan Bewernick * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Blake Hamilton | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Max Jacobsen | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Jordyn Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 37 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 18 | -3.5 |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 30 | 9-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | -3.3 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -20.9 |
| Josh Ritchart * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Ryan Howley | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -9.8 |
| Darius Graham | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -10.4 |
| Tyler Les | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Olivier-Paul Betu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter