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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 68
@
Northern Colorado Bears 76
2013-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% - ✓
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 23.8% 76.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Bewernick * 36 2-4 0-1 0-0 9 1 0 2 2 4 10 -
G. Rogers * 35 7-15 3-7 6-6 3 1 0 0 5 23 7 -
S. Saldivar * 34 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 5 3 0 7 7 7 -
M. Dunn * 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 5 8 -
M. Jacobsen * 16 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
D. Russell 25 7-11 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 15 5 -
J. Martin 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 2 4 -
B. Hamilton 9 1-5 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -1 -
E. Ekanem 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Barden * 37 8-14 0-0 5-6 6 1 1 0 3 21 12 -
T. Svihovec * 36 9-13 3-3 3-5 3 4 2 0 3 24 17 -
T. Unruh * 30 7-11 3-4 0-0 4 2 5 0 2 17 15 -
C. Osborne * 30 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 5 10 -
T. Huskisson * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Tucker 23 0-2 0-1 5-6 1 1 2 0 3 5 4 -
P. Garnica 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 2 -
E. Addo 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter