Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Russell * | 38 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| G. Rogers * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| M. Jacobsen * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Dunn | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Hamilton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stevenett * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Heuir * | 37 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 10 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| J. Cheesman * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Jeffery * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Hess | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Hanks | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Koehler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Collie | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter