Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -6 (86-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ireland * | 40 | 11-22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | +3.2 |
| Ayodeji Egbeyemi * | 38 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -13.9 |
| Ashley Hamilton * | 35 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +3.9 |
| Chase Flint * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Godwin Okonji * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Bruce English | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -10.9 |
| Alex Osborne | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -5.7 |
| C.J. Blackwell | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -9.6 |
| Nick Stover | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +6.7 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Rogers * | 41 | 8-21 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | -7.3 |
| DeWayne Russell * | 39 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +7.6 |
| Michael Dunn * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -12.8 |
| Gaellan Bewernick * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Max Jacobsen | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +13.3 |
| Jordyn Martin | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Stallon Saldivar | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +7.9 |
| Blake Hamilton | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +7.8 |
* = starter