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North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Roy Williams

2017 Team Stats (31 games)

85.2
PPG
70.5
Opp
+14.7
Margin
46.4%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
44.3
RPG
18.4
APG
11.5
TO
88.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1563 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1555 (#26) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +40.2 (#14) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.844 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.5 More → 0.846 (#4) NetEff +15.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.1 More → 0.920 (#7) AdjNet +21.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.3 More → 0.922 (#7) AdjNet +21.3

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-18 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 83 - 68
2016-11-21 @ Chaminade Silverswords W 104 - 61
2016-12-04 vs Radford Highlanders W 95 - 50
2016-12-07 vs Davidson Wildcats W 83 - 74
2016-12-11 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 73 - 71
2016-12-21 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 85 - 42
2016-12-28 vs Monmouth Hawks W 102 - 74
2016-12-31 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 63 - 75
2017-01-03 @ Clemson Tigers W 89 - 86
2017-01-07 vs NC State Wolfpack - Preview
2017-01-08 vs NC State Wolfpack W 107 - 56
2017-01-11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 93 - 87
2017-01-14 vs Florida State Seminoles W 96 - 83
2017-01-16 vs Syracuse Orange W 85 - 68
2017-01-21 @ Boston College Eagles W 90 - 82
2017-01-26 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 91 - 72
2017-01-31 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 80 - 78
2017-02-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Preview
2017-02-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 83 - 76
2017-02-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 78 - 86
2017-02-15 @ NC State Wolfpack W 97 - 73
2017-02-18 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 65 - 41
2017-02-22 vs Louisville Cardinals W 74 - 63
2017-02-25 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 85 - 67
2017-03-04 vs Duke Blue Devils W 90 - 83
2017-03-09 vs Miami Hurricanes W 78 - 53
2017-03-10 vs Duke Blue Devils L 83 - 93
2017-03-17 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 103 - 64
2017-03-19 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 72 - 65
2017-03-24 vs Butler Bulldogs W 92 - 80
2017-03-26 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 75 - 73
2017-04-01 vs Oregon Ducks W 77 - 76
2017-04-03 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 71 - 65

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Jackson Justin Jackson - 31 32.3 18.2 4.7 2.8 0.8 0.3 1.8 15.4 9.6 10 0.7 1.0 43.4 36.5 73.0 0.86 54.5 52.2
J. Berry II J. Berry II G 29 30.6 13.9 2.7 3.3 1.4 0.2 1.9 11.3 8.3 44 5.5 10.1 40.1 36.6 72.4 1.2 54.1 50.5
K. Meeks K. Meeks F 31 24.5 13.1 9.4 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.1 9.3 15.5 - - - 57.6 0 62.9 - 59.7 57.6
I. Hicks I. Hicks F 30 23.0 12.4 5.6 1.5 0.4 0.7 1.4 7.8 11.4 - - - 57.4 0 77.7 - 63.5 57.4
K. Williams K. Williams G 18 24.6 6.9 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 1.3 5.7 6.6 22 2.2 6.5 43.7 36.7 56.5 0.68 55.3 54.4
T. Bradley T. Bradley - 29 14.0 6.6 5.4 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.6 4.5 8.4 - - - 56.2 0 60.5 -0.73 58.7 56.2
Theo Pinson Theo Pinson - 20 23.6 6.4 4.7 3.7 0.8 0.2 1.5 5.5 8.8 - - - 38.7 25.0 70.2 - 48.6 42.8
L. Maye L. Maye F 29 14.5 5.9 4.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.8 4.9 6.1 - - - 48.6 40.0 58.1 - 54.6 53.5
N. Britt N. Britt G 31 18.6 4.5 2.0 2.4 1.2 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.8 - - - 35.8 33.9 71.4 - 46.2 43.1
S. White S. White G 21 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 87.5 - 66.6 55.0
B. Robinson B. Robinson G 27 7.0 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.0 -68 -4.2 -5.6 38.6 22.2 72.7 0.16 47.1 43.2
S. Woods S. Woods G 31 7.3 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.6 2.1 - - - 32.0 10.0 58.6 - 39.8 33.0
S. Rush S. Rush F 14 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 - - - 11.1 33.3 62.5 - 31.9 16.7
K. Coker K. Coker G 15 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 83.3 50.0
A. Rohlman A. Rohlman F 14 1.6 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG