Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (42.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +51 (107-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Abu * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Henderson * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Smith Jr. * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Rowan | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Anya | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Kapita | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kirk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 23 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 23 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Williams * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Maye | 19 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Woods | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Britt | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Bradley | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Pinson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| B. Robinson | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Rush | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Rohlman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. White | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Coker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter