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Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame F... North Caroli... Spread
Elo 13.1% (#140) 86.9% (#38) -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% (#41) 62.9% (#26) -
Margin 12.1% (#77) 87.9% (#14) North C... -10.9
Pythagorean 38.5% (#30) 61.5% (#7) -
Efficiency 10.8% (#28) 89.2% (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% (#38) 89.0% (#7) -
Log Adjusted 10.7% (#38) 89.3% (#7) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Notre Dame F... North Caroli...
Games 26 31
PPG 74.1 85.2
FG% 44.8% 46.4%
3PT% 36.6% 35.1%
FT% 78.6% 69.2%
RPG 32.3 44.3
APG 14.2 18.4
SPG 7.0 7.5
BPG 3.3 3.6
TOPG 9.7 11.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Notre Dame F... North Caroli...
Adj. Off Eff 104.5 110.6
Adj. Def Eff 95.5 89.4
Adj. Net Eff 9.0 21.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
S. Vasturia 12.3 4.0 3.3 1.1 0.2 35.8
M. Farrell 13.9 2.0 5.3 1.7 0.1 35.6
V.J. Beachem 14.5 4.1 0.8 0.9 1.1 34.9
B. Colson 18.0 9.6 1.3 1.1 1.3 32.4
R. Pflueger 4.4 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 21.7

North Carolina Tar Heels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Jackson 18.2 4.7 2.8 0.8 0.3 32.3
J. Berry II 13.9 2.7 3.3 1.4 0.2 30.6
K. Williams 6.9 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 24.6
K. Meeks 13.1 9.4 1.1 1.0 1.3 24.5
T. Pinson 6.4 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.2 23.6