🐻⬇️🏀

@
2017-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 21.5% 78.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Log Adjusted 2.0% 98.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 34 2-8 1-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 3 7 5 -
B. Brown 33 9-13 1-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 3 21 13 -
A. Lawrence II 32 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 4 1 1 6 8 -
J. Newton 26 1-4 0-0 1-5 1 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
K. Murphy 25 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 5 3 -
D. Vasiljevic 19 2-9 1-7 1-1 1 1 1 0 2 6 -2 -
D. Hernandez 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 -
E. Izundu 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Miller Jr. 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Robinson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 33 5-11 2-7 0-1 2 3 2 0 3 12 5 -
J. Berry II 29 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 5 3 0 2 11 13 -
I. Hicks 25 5-7 0-0 9-9 6 2 1 0 1 19 20 -
K. Meeks 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 0 10 11 -
T. Pinson 24 3-7 1-3 2-4 4 6 0 0 3 9 9 -
N. Britt 20 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 3 5 -
T. Bradley 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Maye 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
S. Woods 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Robinson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. White 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter