Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorsey * | 38 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 12-12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D. Ennis * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Bell * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 24 | - |
| D. Brooks * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| P. Pritchard * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Benson | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Bigby-Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Smith | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 2-14 | 2-8 | 5-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 30 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 31 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 20 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| N. Britt | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Maye | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Bradley | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter