Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Adel * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Spalding | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Hicks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Henderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Stockman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Britt | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Bradley | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Maye | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Woods | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter