Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6 (87-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 33 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Williams * | 25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Britt | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Pinson | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Maye | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| S. Woods | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Bradley | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Woods * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Mitoglou * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Crawford * | 23 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| A. Arians * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Collins * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Wilbekin | 28 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. Childress | 17 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Moore | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Japhet-Mathias | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. McClinton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter