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2017-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% -
Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kingsley * 32 4-12 0-1 1-4 5 1 1 2 1 9 5 -
M. Watkins * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 4 10 -
J. Barford * 26 4-14 1-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 9 -3 -
D. Hannahs * 19 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 8 -2 -
D. Thomas * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
D. Macon 26 6-8 3-5 4-4 1 3 1 0 3 19 13 -
A. Beard 20 4-10 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 10 9 -
A. Bailey 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 1 4 2 -
T. Thompson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
A. Cook 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 36 5-14 3-6 2-2 8 5 5 0 4 15 15 -
J. Berry II * 34 2-13 2-8 4-7 2 3 2 0 1 10 3 -
I. Hicks * 30 2-7 0-0 5-6 7 4 1 1 3 9 12 -
K. Meeks * 29 7-13 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 3 2 16 16 -
T. Pinson * 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 2 1 -
N. Britt 16 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
T. Bradley 12 2-2 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 3 7 9 -
L. Maye 10 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
S. Woods 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter