Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bacon | 30 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| J. Isaac | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Mann | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Savoy | 15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Ojo | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Cofer | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Angola-Rodas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| CJ Walker | 14 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| T. Forrest | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Koumadje | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II | 35 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| K. Williams | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Jackson | 29 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| L. Maye | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Pinson | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| I. Hicks | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| K. Meeks | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Britt | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Robinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Woods | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter