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2017-02-25

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -
Bradley-Terry 69.6% 30.4% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 77.1% 22.9% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% -
Log Adjusted 92.0% 8.0% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 34 9-20 5-11 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 23 10 -
J. Berry II 32 6-16 4-9 3-4 4 2 0 1 0 19 10 -
I. Hicks 27 3-7 0-0 2-3 6 6 0 1 1 8 13 -
K. Meeks 25 9-11 0-0 0-2 10 1 2 0 0 18 20 -
T. Pinson 24 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 5 8 -
N. Britt 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bradley 14 3-3 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
L. Maye 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
S. Woods 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
S. Rush 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
K. Coker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rohlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Young 35 4-10 2-5 7-9 8 1 0 1 3 17 14 -
J. Artis 35 6-12 1-5 4-5 1 5 0 0 3 17 8 -
C. Jones 34 3-6 1-3 3-5 1 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
C. Johnson 31 3-5 1-3 2-3 1 1 4 0 2 9 8 -
R. Nix 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
S. Jeter 17 2-4 2-3 1-2 2 2 1 1 1 7 8 -
C. Manigault 8 0-3 0-1 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Wilson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Kithcart 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Milligan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Smith 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter