Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +43 (85-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ashton | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Carlson * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. McCloud * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| S. Haldeman * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Koch * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| I. Brown | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| H. Rhodes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Dahl | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Friedman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. McDonnell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Conrey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. de Souza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Williams * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| N. Britt | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Robinson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Maye | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Bradley | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Woods | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Rush | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter