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2017-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 16.9% 83.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Log Adjusted 2.0% 98.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson * 40 9-13 6-9 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 24 14 -
M. Young * 38 7-11 2-4 3-3 10 2 1 0 1 19 20 -
J. Artis * 38 6-15 3-10 2-2 1 5 1 0 3 17 6 -
S. Jeter * 30 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 2 8 -
C. Jones * 26 5-6 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 12 10 -
D. Wilson 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
R. Nix 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Kithcart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 38 7-16 3-9 3-4 6 3 0 0 2 20 11 -
J. Berry II * 37 6-12 5-9 2-3 1 3 0 0 2 19 9 -
I. Hicks * 33 6-8 0-0 6-8 8 2 1 0 1 18 20 -
K. Meeks * 29 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 3 1 10 8 -
K. Williams * 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Britt 23 0-4 0-3 2-3 1 4 1 0 0 2 4 -
T. Bradley 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Maye 7 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Robinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Woods 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter