North Carolina Tar Heels
2024 Team Stats (27 games)
68.4
PPG
62.4
Opp
+6.0
Margin
41.5%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
65.8%
FT%
39.0
RPG
12.8
APG
12.4
TO
82.3
Pace
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1116 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1274 (#40) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +45.1 (#26) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.932 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.913 (#24) | AdjNet +20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.922 (#24) | AdjNet +21.2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Kelly
|
G | 27 | 35.3 | 16.5 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 7.5 | -49 | -4.9 | -3.6 | 35.3 | 26.5 | 68.9 | 0.21 | 45.4 | 38.5 |
A. Ustby
|
G | 27 | 33.4 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 11.3 | 14.7 | -30 | -3.0 | -2.8 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 57.5 | 0.31 | 49.1 | 47.4 |
L. Donarski
|
G | 27 | 35.0 | 10.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.1 | 4.3 | -43 | -4.8 | -3.8 | 36.3 | 35.5 | 77.8 | 0.07 | 49.1 | 47.4 |
M. Gakdeng
|
F | 27 | 23.3 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 10.0 | -27 | -3.4 | -4.5 | 63.2 | 0 | 63.5 | 0.16 | 64.3 | 63.2 |
I. Nivar
|
G | 27 | 21.2 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 6.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -2.1 | 39.8 | 25.9 | 54.5 | 0.06 | 45.4 | 43.6 |
P. Paris
|
G | 15 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 36.5 | 30.2 | 83.3 | 0.14 | 48.7 | 45.9 |
K. McPherson
|
G | 7 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 29.0 | 21.4 | 57.1 | 0.05 | 41.0 | 33.9 |
R. Kelly
|
G | 20 | 17.3 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 37.2 | 27.0 | 83.3 | - | 46.0 | 43.0 |
A. Poole
|
F | 24 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -20 | -2.2 | -5.4 | 45.1 | 0 | 63.0 | -0.04 | 50.1 | 45.1 |
T. Key
|
F | 17 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 32 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 0.45 | 45.8 | 41.5 |
A. Zelaya
|
F | 15 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.4 | -28 | -3.1 | -8.9 | 32.4 | 37.0 | 66.7 | -0.24 | 49.1 | 47.1 |
R. Grays
|
F | 4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 73.5 | 66.7 |
S. Barker
|
G | 7 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -2.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG