Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +39.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +29 (68-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Booth | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | - |
| V. Taylor | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Walton | 27 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| I. Adams | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. James | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Pass | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Leroux | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Willard | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Monroe | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Wadkovsky | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| H. Dereje | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Kelly | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| R. Kelly | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Ustby | 24 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| I. Nivar | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Paris | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. McPherson | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Barker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Grays | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter