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2023-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +39.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +29 (68-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Booth 28 3-4 -1 2-4 3 2 6 8 3
V. Taylor 28 2-4 -1 - 3 1 1 4 3
R. Walton 27 2-8 -4 - 2 1 2 4 -3
I. Adams 24 2-6 - 1-4 8 1 1 5 9
A. James 20 1-4 1-2 - 3 1 1 3 4
M. Pass 17 3-7 - 2-3 4 2 2 8 5
A. Leroux 16 1-3 - - 3 3 2 2 3
M. Johnson 13 -2 - - 3 1 1 1 2
R. Willard 11 -2 -2 2-2 1 1 3 2 -1
D. Monroe 8 -4 -4 2-2 2 -2
A. Wadkovsky 4 -2 - 1-2 3 1 1 1
H. Dereje 4 - - - 1 -1

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Donarski 28 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 1 9 2
D. Kelly 27 4-12 2-6 3-3 3 2 1 1 13 6
M. Gakdeng 26 6-10 - 1-1 5 1 2 13 11
R. Kelly 25 2-4 -2 - 4 1 1 2 4 4
A. Ustby 24 8-14 - -1 11 2 3 3 1 16 20
I. Nivar 22 2-8 1-3 - 9 1 3 2 5 8
P. Paris 20 -5 -2 - 2 1 3 -5
K. McPherson 15 2-5 2-5 1-2 1 5 1 1 7 8
A. Zelaya 9 -1 - - -1
S. Barker 2 - - - 0
R. Grays 2 - - 1-2 2 1 1 4

* = starter