Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 38 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 3 | ||
| L. Donarski | 37 | 4-16 | 1-8 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -5 | ||
| A. Ustby | 33 | 2-2 | - | -2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| A. Poole | 20 | 2-3 | - | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
| I. Nivar | 17 | 3-7 | -1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | ||
| K. McPherson | 17 | 4-7 | - | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | ||
| P. Paris | 16 | 1-6 | -5 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | ||
| A. Zelaya | 11 | -3 | -3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | -3 | ||||
| M. Gakdeng | 9 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | -1 | ||||
| R. Kelly | 2 | 1-1 | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Glenn | 38 | 1-8 | -5 | - | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| S. Sundell | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | |
| A. Lee | 32 | 5-9 | - | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | |
| G. Gregory | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Z. Walker | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | - | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |||
| G. Sanchez | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 10 | |||
| T. Sides | 10 | - | - | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | ||
| B. Glenn | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |||
| H. Greer | 4 | - | - | - | 0 | ||||||
| I. Lester | 3 | 1-1 | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
* = starter