Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 38 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| L. Donarski | 37 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -5 | - |
| A. Ustby | 33 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | - |
| A. Poole | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Nivar | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. McPherson | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| P. Paris | 16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kelly | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Glenn | 38 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Sundell | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Lee | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| G. Gregory | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Walker | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Sanchez | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Sides | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Glenn | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| H. Greer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Lester | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter