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2023-12-19

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
ELO 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
KenPom Style 45.0% 55.0% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -9 (52-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
D. Kelly 39 7-14 -1 7-12 6 1 1 4 21 11
L. Donarski 37 4-10 2-8 - 6 1 10 5
A. Ustby 35 6-11 - 3-4 13 2 3 6 15 16
P. Paris 30 4-12 1-5 - 2 1 3 9 -3
I. Nivar 22 -3 -1 - 4 1 0
A. Zelaya 16 1-2 - 2-2 6 2 1 1 4 10
M. Gakdeng 15 1-2 - - 2 1 5 2 -2
A. Poole 3 -1 - - -1
T. Key 3 -1 - - 3 2 0

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
S. Vann 38 3-17 -5 4-6 12 2 1 3 10 5
P. Verhulst 29 6-13 -3 3-4 5 1 5 15 3
L. Keys 28 1-7 1-5 - 2 1 1 3 -2
N. Tot 26 2-4 -2 1-2 5 2 1 5 9
A. Joens 23 -5 -3 2-2 1 1 2 1 2 0
S. Williams 21 2-10 -6 3-5 8 2 2 7 5
R. Scott 14 2-5 -2 - 1 3 4 -3
K. Tucker 8 -1 - - 1 1 1
K. Johnson 7 3-7 - - 1 6 0
B. Culliton 4 -2 - -2 3 1
L. Allen 2 -1 - - -1

* = starter