Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Oklahoma Sooners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -9 (52-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| L. Donarski | 37 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Ustby | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | - |
| P. Paris | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| I. Nivar | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Poole | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Key | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vann | 38 | 3-17 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Verhulst | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| L. Keys | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| N. Tot | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Joens | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Williams | 21 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Scott | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Tucker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Johnson | 7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Culliton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter