Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 40 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Ustby | 38 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Kelly | 27 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5 | - |
| I. Nivar | 27 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| R. Kelly | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Paris | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Poole | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Key | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hidalgo | 39 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. DeWolfe | 39 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| S. Citron | 38 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| K. Watson | 35 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| KK Bransford | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Marshall | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter