Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 38 | 7-11 | - | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 |
| K. Jefferson | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| J. Curry | 27 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | ||
| O. Cochran | 27 | 6-9 | - | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | ||
| S. Taylor | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | ||
| E. Love | 21 | 2-3 | -1 | - | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | |||
| N. Rickards | 12 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 2 | -2 | ||||
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 11 | 1-4 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| M. Russell | 9 | -4 | -2 | - | 2 | 1 | -1 | ||||
| A. Gassett | 2 | - | - | - | 0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 40 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 14-16 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 15 | ||
| A. Ustby | 38 | 5-9 | - | - | 12 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
| L. Donarski | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | - | 3 | 13 | 4 | ||||
| R. Kelly | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | - | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | |
| I. Nivar | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | |
| M. Gakdeng | 18 | 4-6 | - | -2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | ||
| A. Poole | 14 | 2-2 | - | - | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | ||
| T. Key | 10 | -1 | - | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
* = starter