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Louisville Cardinals 68
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 79
2024-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - ✗
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 ✗ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 82.2% 17.8% - ✗

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris 38 7-11 0-0 2-6 3 2 3 1 2 16 12 -
K. Jefferson 30 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 8 9 -
J. Curry 27 3-10 2-4 6-6 3 2 0 0 1 14 8 -
O. Cochran 27 6-9 0-0 2-6 5 4 0 0 3 14 11 -
S. Taylor 23 3-9 1-4 1-3 2 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
E. Love 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
N. Rickards 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
E. Istanbulluoglu 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
M. Russell 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Gassett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kelly 40 4-12 1-2 14-16 2 6 0 0 4 23 15 -
A. Ustby 38 5-9 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 7 2 10 22 -
L. Donarski 34 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
R. Kelly 28 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 9 6 -
I. Nivar 18 4-6 1-1 1-3 4 1 2 0 2 10 9 -
M. Gakdeng 18 4-6 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 3 8 7 -
A. Poole 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 4 10 -
T. Key 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 1 2 4 -

* = starter