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2024-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
KenPom Style 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
S. Day-Wilson 33 6-11 5-8 1-1 2 2 1 3 18 9
J. Patrick 31 4-9 2-6 - 7 2 1 1 10 10
J. Williams 30 2-4 1-2 - 5 1 1 1 5 7
Z. Spearman 22 2-5 - 2-3 9 1 2 6 9
L. Dwyer 21 3-7 2-3 1-2 3 1 2 3 9 5
J. Roberts 20 1-4 -2 2-2 4 1 4 4 1
A. Stedman 18 2-7 2-7 - 1 3 6 3
K. Oldacre 11 -2 - 1-2 3 2 1 0
L. Lattimore 7 -2 - - 1 1 -2
L. Hylton 7 1-4 -2 - 1 2 -1

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Donarski 40 5-11 2-6 - 3 1 2 12 7
A. Ustby 38 5-12 - 2-3 10 4 2 2 1 12 17
D. Kelly 36 5-13 -4 8-10 3 3 4 18 7
R. Kelly 32 4-5 2-3 - 2 3 10 4
M. Gakdeng 22 6-9 - 1-3 5 1 1 13 9
I. Nivar 15 -2 - 1-2 1 2 1 1 1
A. Poole 11 -3 - - 2 1 1 1
T. Key 6 - - - 4 2 2

* = starter