Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Day-Wilson | 33 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Patrick | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Williams | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Z. Spearman | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Dwyer | 21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Roberts | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Stedman | 18 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Oldacre | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Lattimore | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Hylton | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 40 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Ustby | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Kelly | 36 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. Kelly | 32 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| I. Nivar | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Poole | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Key | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter