Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hagemann | 40 | 2-3 | -1 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | |
| M. Joiner | 37 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | ||
| T. Hallock | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 |
| J. Ayrault | 29 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| T. Ozment | 26 | 2-9 | -1 | - | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | ||
| J. Tate | 24 | 1-5 | - | -1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| A. Kimball | 11 | -1 | -1 | - | 1 | 0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 40 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 3 | |
| L. Donarski | 39 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | ||
| A. Ustby | 37 | 8-12 | - | -2 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 27 | |
| I. Nivar | 29 | 1-8 | -2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| M. Gakdeng | 22 | 8-14 | - | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | |
| T. Key | 21 | 2-5 | - | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | ||
| A. Poole | 8 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| S. Barker | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter