Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.2 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 40 | 5-13 | -1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -1 |
| L. Donarski | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | |
| M. Gakdeng | 36 | 6-9 | - | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 5-16 | - | - | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 | |
| I. Nivar | 26 | 5-13 | -3 | -2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | |
| A. Poole | 14 | -1 | - | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| R. Kelly | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4433408 | 35 | 7-17 | - | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | |
| Player #4433468 | 33 | 4-8 | 4-7 | - | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 6 | ||
| Player #4433730 | 33 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 20 |
| KK Arnold | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | |
| A. Shade | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | - | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | |||
| A. Griffin | 27 | 2-6 | - | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| Q. Samuels | 8 | 1-2 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| I. Brady | 3 | -1 | - | - | -1 |
* = starter