Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.2 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 40 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -1 | - |
| L. Donarski | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| I. Nivar | 26 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Poole | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Kelly | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Edwards | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Muhl | 33 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 33 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| KK Arnold | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Shade | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Griffin | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Q. Samuels | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Brady | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter