Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 32 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| P. Paris | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Ustby | 30 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Kelly | 27 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| I. Nivar | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Gakdeng | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Poole | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Key | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bejedi | 38 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| T. Latson | 35 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| B. Turnage | 32 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| O. Gordon | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Timpson | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| A. Tucker | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Viegas | 11 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. White | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Treadwell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter