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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2011 Team Stats (32 games)

76.4
PPG
61.7
Opp
+16.2
Margin
42.0%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
69.8%
FT%
42.4
RPG
15.9
APG
0.0
TO
77.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1414 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1378 (#19) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +39.2 (#23) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.877 (#23) -

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs North Florida Ospreys W 110 - 41
2010-11-17 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 76 - 47
2010-11-19 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 93 - 37
2010-11-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 93 - 36
2010-11-26 vs Washington State Cougars W 93 - 55
2010-11-27 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 87 - 58
2010-11-28 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine W 91 - 57
2010-12-02 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 79 - 67
2010-12-08 vs East Tennessee State Bucs W 87 - 47
2010-12-12 vs UNLV Lady Rebels W 78 - 66
2010-12-19 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 75 - 51
2010-12-28 vs Charleston Cougars W 75 - 49
2010-12-31 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 83 - 62
2011-01-03 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 97 - 40
2011-01-06 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 70 - 71
2011-01-09 @ Boston College Eagles W 84 - 83
2011-01-14 vs NC State Wolfpack W 83 - 76
2011-01-17 vs UConn Huskies L 57 - 83
2011-01-20 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 71 - 56
2011-01-23 @ Maryland Terrapins L 65 - 88
2011-01-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 64 - 52
2011-01-30 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 76 - 51
2011-02-02 @ Florida State Seminoles W 84 - 75
2011-02-07 vs Duke Blue Devils W 62 - 60
2011-02-10 @ Clemson Tigers W 60 - 47
2011-02-13 vs Miami Hurricanes L 66 - 78
2011-02-21 @ NC State Wolfpack L 72 - 88
2011-02-24 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 57 - 64
2011-02-27 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 66
2011-03-03 vs Clemson Tigers W 78 - 64
2011-03-04 @ Florida State Seminoles W 78 - 65
2011-03-05 @ Miami Hurricanes W 83 - 57
2011-03-06 @ Duke Blue Devils L 66 - 81
2011-03-13 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 98 - 52
2011-03-19 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 82 - 68
2011-03-21 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 86 - 74
2011-03-26 @ Stanford Cardinal L 65 - 72

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Zeller T. Zeller - 3 30.0 16.3 7.0 0.3 0.7 2.0 1.7 11.3 13.3 - - - 47.1 0 77.3 - 56.1 47.1
I. Lucas I. Lucas G 32 0.0 15.5 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.1 2.8 14.2 5.6 - - - 41.9 30.6 77.3 - 51.3 49.0
H. Barnes H. Barnes - 3 31.0 13.7 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 13.0 6.3 - - - 41.0 10.0 80.0 - 47.2 42.3
J. Breland J. Breland F 24 0.0 12.5 6.7 1.6 1.2 1.9 2.8 11.5 9.7 - - - 44.0 21.1 65.9 - 48.2 44.7
R. Bullock Jr. R. Bullock Jr. - 2 15.0 11.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 8.5 6.0 - - - 52.9 66.7 0 - 64.7 64.7
L. Broomfield L. Broomfield NA 9 0.0 10.7 9.8 0.3 0.6 0.4 2.6 7.8 11.4 - - - 55.7 0.0 50.0 - 55.9 55.7
C. Shegog C. Shegog NA 24 0.0 9.5 5.3 0.9 0.7 1.2 2.2 6.7 8.7 - - - 52.5 0 75.9 - 58.5 52.5
W. Rolle W. Rolle NA 7 0.0 9.4 5.4 0.3 0.9 3.0 2.6 6.7 9.7 - - - 48.9 0 83.3 - 57.3 48.9
C. DeGraffenreid C. DeGraffenreid G 31 0.0 8.1 2.9 4.4 2.6 0.0 2.1 5.9 10.0 - - - 43.5 30.0 72.1 - 54.4 47.6
C. Degraffenried C. Degraffenried NA 1 0.0 8.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 18.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
J. Henson J. Henson - 3 24.7 7.3 14.3 0.7 0.7 3.0 3.3 9.0 13.7 - - - 33.3 0 36.4 - 34.5 33.3
T. Ruffin-Pratt T. Ruffin-Pratt NA 11 0.0 6.5 5.5 2.1 1.5 0.1 1.5 8.1 6.1 - - - 33.7 8.3 64.7 - 37.3 34.3
K. Marshall K. Marshall - 3 20.0 6.3 2.3 3.0 1.3 0.0 2.7 5.0 5.3 - - - 46.7 100.0 50.0 - 51.3 50.0
L. McDonald L. McDonald - 3 19.0 6.0 2.0 0.3 1.3 0.0 2.0 6.0 1.7 - - - 33.3 22.2 57.1 - 42.7 38.9
K. Gross K. Gross NA 19 0.0 5.1 4.4 0.7 1.4 0.5 1.3 4.2 6.6 - - - 42.5 31.8 84.6 - 53.0 46.9
J. Knox J. Knox - 3 15.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.3 2.3 - - - 50.0 0 71.4 - 57.3 50.0
L. Drew II L. Drew II - 2 26.0 4.5 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 50.0 - 39.1 31.2
D. Strickland D. Strickland - 3 23.3 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 2.7 1.0 - - - 37.5 0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
N. Powell N. Powell NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
L. Coleman L. Coleman G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Watts J. Watts - 3 9.7 0.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG