Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 0 | -8 | -2 | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | -2 | |||
| H. Peters | 0 | 1-4 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| K. Thomas | 0 | 2-8 | - | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | ||
| C. Gray | 0 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 9 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lucas | 0 | 8-18 | 1-10 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 4-8 | - | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 2-4 | -1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | ||
| K. Gross | 0 | -1 | -1 | - | 3 | 2 |
* = starter