Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| L. Coleman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 0 | 3-12 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| N. Howard | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Hunnicutt | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Deluzio | 0 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| C. Bravard | 0 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
* = starter