Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Howard | 0 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Hunnicutt | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 3-16 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -5 | - |
| C. Bravard | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Deluzio | 0 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter