Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lucas | 0 | 5-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -9 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Burke | 0 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Goodwin-Coleman | 0 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. White | 0 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| M. Kastanek | 0 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| B. Holston | 0 | 4-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
* = starter